Executive Brief
Yanbu Industrial City — Phase Initial · Registry: registry-yanbu-v3 · May 2026
Nine material streams. Three structural advantages unique to Yanbu. One action required by Q3 2026.
Opening
Yanbu Industrial City generates an estimated 400 TPD across nine material streams currently managed through disposal — MSW residuals, End-of-Life Tires, wastewater sludge, petcoke/coal ash, YANSAB polymer waste, contaminated recycling, Automotive Shredder Residue, commercial waste, and C&D fluff — at an estimated blended disposal cost of SAR 290/ton (ESTIMATED, WARN-01). Three structural advantages distinguish the Yanbu engagement from other KSA industrial corridor deployments.
First: The YANSAB polymer waste stream — 80 TPD of HDPE, LLDPE, and polypropylene rejects from Saudi Arabia's largest petrochemical complex — has no incumbent circular processor anywhere in the Kingdom. ACM produces Carbon Black, Graphite, and Carbon Fiber Precursor from this stream in a closed-loop arrangement where SABIC (YANSAB majority owner) is both the feedstock originator and the primary buyer of the processed output.
Second: YASREF (400,000 bpd) and SAMREF process the highest-vanadium crude in the Aramco system. Petcoke from these refineries produces the best-positioned domestic V₂O₅ feedstock in Saudi Arabia — 60 TPD, 3× the Jubail volume — feeding directly into Aramco's Vanadium Redox Flow Battery supply chain for the 110 GW renewable energy storage program. (WARN-08 — engineering confirmation required.)
Third: Yanbu Phase Initial is a 3-module, 300 TPD deployment — three times the Jubail scale — generating $165M in Carbotura FDI commitment to Yanbu Industrial City and 141 direct in-Kingdom jobs at COD.
MWAN Mandate — 3 Modules
Three ACM modules at RCJY Yanbu IC Phase II address the 85% diversion mandate for the largest industrial corridor on the Red Sea coast.
YANSAB Polymer + V₂O₅ Gap
YANSAB polymer waste has no incumbent processor in the Kingdom. YASREF/SAMREF petcoke produces the best domestic V₂O₅ feedstock in Saudi Arabia. Both gaps are uniquely closable only at Yanbu.
Carbotura Phase Initial (300 TPD, Q4 2029 COD) closes all three gaps simultaneously. $165M Carbotura FDI into Yanbu Industrial City.
The Decision
Options B (zero Processing Service Fee, different royalty mechanics) and Option A-IC (in-country premium participation on V₂O₅/carbon sales to Aramco and SABIC) are described in the Proposal. Option B+Exogenesis is not modelled for Yanbu Phase Initial.
The Circular Supply Agreement authorises Carbotura to operate an Advanced Circular Manufacturing centre at RCJY Yanbu Industrial City, processing Phase Initial feedstock from nine material streams across 3 modules. The CSA is structured as:
- Processing Service (Ijarah): Authority pays for a manufacturing and processing service per ton processed
- Manufactured Goods Revenue Share (Musharakah): Authority receives a share of manufactured output revenue, on a rolling monthly basis, 13 months after each corresponding Processing Service payment — from Month 14 onward
- Zero capital obligation: Carbotura designs, finances, builds, owns, and operates. LOCKED.
These are two independent transactions. They must not be combined, netted, or described as components of a single return.
Two Agreements — Two Independent Counterparties
100% PIF subsidiary
Feedstock supply terms · Processing Service · Manufactured Goods Revenue Share
Independent entity — separate contract
Land lease · Industrial operating licence · Infrastructure access
RCJY and SIRC are separate entities. These are two independent agreements — the CSA counterparty (SIRC) is not the site authority (RCJY).
Yanbu-Unique Streams
YANSAB Polymer Waste — 80 TPD
HDPE · LLDPE · Polypropylene rejects. No incumbent circular processor in any KSA region. SABIC generates feedstock and buys output — closed-loop IKTVA alignment. This stream is unique to Yanbu.
YASREF/SAMREF Petcoke Ash — 60 TPD
400K bpd YASREF + SAMREF = highest-vanadium crude in Aramco system. V₂O₅ primary output. Saudi Arabia's best-positioned domestic V₂O₅ site nationally. WARN-08
There is no WtE facility in the Yanbu Industrial City Phase Initial corridor. REE suite (Cerium, Lanthanum, Neodymium, Yttrium, Lithium Carbonate, Cobalt Sulfate) — which appears in the Jubail engagement — is absent from Yanbu Phase Initial. The critical minerals pathway at Yanbu is V₂O₅, Nickel, Gallium, and Molybdenum from petcoke ash.
Key Facts
| Feedstock streams | MSW residuals · ELT · Wastewater sludge · Petcoke ash · YANSAB polymer · Contaminated recycling · ASR · Commercial · C&D fluff | Registry v3 |
| Total addressable TPD | 400 TPD baseline / 500 TPD surge (P90) | ESTIMATED |
| Surge factor / driver | 1.25× / Refinery turnaround cycles | LOCKED |
| Phase Initial target | 300 TPD · 105,000 tpy · 3 modules | LOCKED |
| Carbotura FDI | $165M (3 × $55M/module) | LOCKED |
| Capital obligation | Zero | LOCKED |
| CSA structure | Ijarah (Processing Service) + Musharakah (Revenue Share) | LOCKED |
| Revenue Share lag | 13 months rolling — independent transaction | ALWAYS |
| T0 target | Q2 2027 · Dhul-Qa'dah 1448 AH | ESTIMATED |
| Phase Initial COD | Q4 2029 · Jumada II 1451 AH | ESTIMATED |
| First Revenue Share | Q1 2031 · Muharram 1453 AH | DERIVED |
| Direct FTE | 141 Subject to Nitaqat compliance — ESTIMATED | ESTIMATED |
| Carbon avoidance | 399,675 tCO₂e/yr · SGI contribution | ESTIMATED |
| MWAN contribution | 105,000 tpy toward 2035 mandate | ESTIMATED |
| Unique stream | YANSAB polymer waste 80 TPD — no incumbent processor KSA | LOCKED |
| Critical minerals | V₂O₅ · Ni · Ga · Mo from petcoke ash | WARN-08 |
| Primary V₂O₅ buyer | Saudi Aramco VRFB supply chain — CANDIDATE | CANDIDATE · WARN-08 |
| Primary carbon buyer | SABIC (YANSAB loop) — CANDIDATE | CANDIDATE |
| CSA counterparty | Saudi Investment Recycling Company (SIRC) — 100% PIF subsidiary | LOCKED |
| Site counterparty | Royal Commission for Jubail and Yanbu (RCJY) — separate entity | LOCKED |
What Delay Costs
The CSA reserves Carbotura's manufacturing commitment to Yanbu. Once executed:
- 3 ACM modules built on Carbotura capital — Revenue Share stream locked across all three
- T0 Q2 2027 → COD Q4 2029 → Revenue Share from Q1 2031
- T0 slip of 12 months: COD Q4 2030 → First Revenue Share Q1 2032 · 12 months of Revenue Share forfeited across 3 modules · MWAN compliance window compressed by 12 months
- YANSAB polymer stream is time-sensitive: No incumbent processor creates a first-mover window — a competing circular processor engaging YANSAB before this agreement is in place claims the 80 TPD stream
- YASREF/SAMREF V₂O₅: Engineering confirmation (WARN-08) must begin now to enable Aramco procurement engagement within the Phase Initial timeline
Call to Action
Authorise the Authority Feasibility Study
The single action that preserves Q2 2027 T0. Authorization required by Q3 2026.
The Feasibility Study resolves:
- GEMS actual gate rates at Yanbu (WARN-01) — confirm FWDC SAR 290/ton baseline
- RCJY Yanbu IC Phase II land allocation — 45,000–75,000 m² for 3 modules
- YANSAB polymer waste access agreement — confirm 80 TPD stream under SIRC/SABIC framework
- YASREF/SAMREF petcoke ash vanadium analysis — engineering confirmation (WARN-08)
- NCEC manufacturing facility classification for 3-module configuration
- Nitaqat tier with HRSD for 141 direct FTE (WARN-03)
- SABIC carbon outputs procurement engagement — fastest ICO track
- Surge capacity infrastructure: 400 TPD baseline → 500 TPD surge (P90, refinery turnaround cycles)
Contact: info[at]carbotura.com
Source Basis
Registry-yanbu-v3.json · SIRC (sirc.sa) · PIF (pif.gov.sa) · RCJY (rcjy.gov.sa) · MWAN (mwan.gov.sa) · Saudi National Minerals Program 2025 · Future Minerals Forum January 2026 · YASREF Annual Operations Data · YANSAB Production Reports · Springer Nature Vanadium in Petcoke Ash 2026 · Exchange-rates.org SAR/USD 3.75 May 2026
Financial projections: Carbotura Circular Advantage modeling, RC3 baseline, standard contractual parameters. All financial figures ESTIMATED unless marked LOCKED. This document does not constitute a Sharia certification or a sukuk prospectus. Formal Sharia Board review recommended prior to CSA execution.