Riyadh generates 9,170 TPD across nine material streams — 21% of the national waste market — surging to 12,840 TPD during Eid Al-Fitr, Eid Al-Adha, and Ramadan. Phase Initial (10 modules, 1,000 TPD) addresses 10.9% of baseline volume while capturing the highest-access streams first. No WtE ash at Phase Initial — carbon and organics are the primary output family.

Surge Capacity Design Basis

SURGE CAPACITY — Facility designed for P90, not average load

Riyadh's waste volume is not flat. Eid Al-Fitr and Eid Al-Adha create 35–45% waste surges. Ramadan food waste increases 40%. National Day events add 25%. The facility is designed for the P90 peak, not the average day. Average-designed capacity fails during peak periods — when disposal pressure is highest.

Baseline TPD (average) 9,170
Surge TPD (P90 design) 12,840
Surge factor 1.4×
Primary surge drivers Eid + Ramadan

Phase Initial (1,000 TPD / 10 modules) is sized for the highest-access streams at average load. Surge headroom built into each module (15% per unit). Total facility surge capacity: 1,150 TPD effective. WARN-05 — verify surge factor with MWAN seasonal data.

Nine-Stream Volume Table All ESTIMATED

All figures ESTIMATED. Access classifications reflect contractual/logistical status only — not manufacturing capability limits.

Stream TPD Annual (tpy) Originator Access Phase Primary ACM Output
MSW Residential 4,940 1,729,000 SEEC / Riyadh Municipality IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Black RC2–RC3, Graphite RC3
MSW Commercial 2,751 962,850 SEEC / private — 9.49% CAGR IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Black RC2–RC3, Graphite RC3
C&D Fluff 660 231,000 Akam (SIRC) / Qiddiya, Diriyah C&D IMMEDIATE Initial Mineral Aggregate RC1, Carbon RC2
Contaminated Recycling 520 182,000 RCJY recycling centers IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Black RC2, Aromatics RC3
End-of-Life Tires 380 133,000 ~3M registered vehicles in Riyadh IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Black RC2–RC3, Aromatics RC3
Commercial Waste 420 147,000 SEEC / private operators IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Black RC2, Graphite RC3
ASR 280 98,000 ELECTA (SIRC) / Riyadh vehicle fleet IMMEDIATE Initial Carbon Fiber Precursor RC4, Aromatics RC3
Wastewater Sludge 220 77,000 NWC (National Water Company) Riyadh WWTP CONDITIONAL Initial Pozzolanic SCM RC2, Metals RC2
WtE Ash 0 0 No operational WtE — under development CONDITIONAL Future REE suite (post-commissioning)
Total Addressable 9,171 3,209,850 ESTIMATED
Phase Initial 1,000 350,000 LOCKED

Phase Initial (1,000 TPD) = top 6 IMMEDIATE-access streams at their Phase Initial allocation. Remaining volume addressable at Phase Medium (2,000 TPD) and Phase Expanded (3,000 TPD).

Critical Minerals Note — Phase Initial

No Ash REE at Riyadh Phase Initial

There is no operational WtE facility at Riyadh at Phase Initial. The WtE programme is under development as part of SIRC/MWAN's national circular economy buildout. REE suite absent from Riyadh Phase Initial. Carbon and organics are the primary Phase Initial output families. REE and critical minerals are added once WtE ash becomes available.

Key Operators

Operator Role Stream ACM Relationship
SEEC
Saudi Environmental Company
Municipal waste collection — Riyadh MSW residential + commercial Primary feedstock supply counterparty — SEEC/SIRC existing relationship
Yadoum (SIRC) MSW → RDF for cement — largest in Kingdom MSW residential rejects Non-RDF fraction and fluff → ACM feedstock
Akam (SIRC) C&D → aggregate C&D fluff Light fraction from Riyadh construction boom (Qiddiya, Diriyah, King Salman Park)
ELECTA (SIRC) EoL vehicles → metals ASR Automotive Shredder Residue → Carbon Fiber Precursor RC4
NWC
National Water Company
Riyadh WWTP network Wastewater sludge Biosolids → Pozzolanic SCM RC2 (conditional access)
MODON Industrial estate authority — Manufacturing Site Deed Land + operating licence RCJY equivalent for Riyadh — independent from SIRC CSA

Scale Gap

The Dual Capacity Gap — Riyadh Edition

Gap 1 — Waste Diversion 800+ facilities needed nationally by 2035. Riyadh holds 21% of national waste and 40% of national commercial waste market revenue. Phase Initial (350,000 tpy) addresses 3.8% of Riyadh's 9.17M tpy — but it is the first manufactured-output processing at this tier in Riyadh.

Gap 2 — Critical Minerals Saudi Arabia imports Carbon Black for tyre manufacturing, high-purity graphite for batteries, and carbon fiber precursor for advanced manufacturing. Riyadh's 10-module scale produces domestically what the Kingdom currently imports. No incumbent circular-source Carbon Black or Graphite producer exists in Riyadh Industrial Estate.

Commercial waste growth: 9.49% CAGR on the commercial segment — Riyadh Province held 40% of national waste market revenue. ACM at 10-module scale is sized for current volume with Phase Medium headroom as the CAGR compounds.

Carbotura Phase Initial closes both gaps simultaneously.

Infrastructure Map

Map initialising — requires Google Maps API key

Sources: SIRC.sa · RCJY.gov.sa · Marafiq.com.sa · MWAN.gov.sa · Verification: May 2026

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